#MARKETING: "Moore's Law Superseded by Wright's Law"

Moore's Law is not obsolete, but still applies to semiconductors and to virtually every other major product category with appropriate modifications. However, Moore's Law is not universal, and in fact recently lost a competition with Sinclair-Klepper-Cohen's, Goddard's and Wright's Law: R. Colin Johnson @NextGenLog


Growth of prediction errors for competing laws to Moore's Law shows Wright's Law the best at long-time horizons, Goddard's Law as the worse at short time horizons, and Sinclair-Klepper-Cohen the worst for long-time horizons.

The Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) has done a definitive study comparing the accuracy of Moore's, Sinclair-Klepper-Cohen's, Goddard's and Wright's Law, claiming that their determination will boost the accuracy of futurists who make predictions about the pace of technological change, which alternative candidate technologies to promote, and both corporate and government policies for global change.
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